We will not go out and get a ‘real’ job because, frankly, the real jobs don’t exist yet.
As big disruptive shifts hit the workplace we all get taken out of our comfort zones. Whereas once we felt in control, the stakes are evolving rapidly and our ability to adapt is falling behind. If we consider the recent gallup poll results that indicates that only a mere 30% of the workforce is actually committed to doing a good job, engaged, it really drives home the point that we may need to take a deeper look at the skills we have today, map them against the various trends that are impacting the workplace, and derive a view to the skills we will need moving forward.
A recent report published by the Institute for the Future (IFTF), does an outstanding job of identifying the key work skills and capabilities needed in the next few years (and arguably needed now).
This is a much discussed topic. But really, if your job can be done by a robot, then it´s time to start improving your skill-set now.
It is an invisible force that goes by many names. Computerization. Automation. Artificial intelligence. Technology. Innovation. And, everyone’s favorite, ROBOTS.
Whatever name you prefer, some form of it has been stoking progress and killing jobs—from seamstresses to paralegals—for centuries. But this time is different: Nearly half of American jobs today could be automated in “a decade or two,” according to a new paper by Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael A. Osborne, discussed recently in The Economist. The question is: Which half?
Another way of posing the same question is: Where do machines work better than people? Tractors are more powerful than farmers. Robotic arms are stronger and more tireless than assembly-line workers. But in the past 30 years, software and robots have thrived at replacing a particular kind of occupation: the average-wage, middle-skill, routine-heavy worker, especially in manufacturing and office admin.
Read more. [Image: Reuters]
Source: The Atlantic
The Oxfam report - Working for the few - Political capture and economic inequality says something about the state of the world and about the direction we are heading in. As a Swede I am especially sad about this graph since Sweden used to be pretty good at keeping inequality relatively low. Now we are changing faster than than most others to the other side of the spectrum…
Whether or not new employment will arise to replace it, let us take a moment to reflect on the work that was.
I’ve been involved in a conversation with Adam Pisoni and a group of like-minded people about the rising tide of interest around the need for a new way of work (see There’s something in the air…). It’s led me to reconsider some of the factors that surround organizational change. And in particular, and more fundamentally, a change in the ethos of work itself.
I believe that one of the changes that we are seeing — and perhaps only the very beginning of the change — is how companies are not private worlds any more. In the 20th century a company like IBM or 3M or Ford may have built up a distinctive corporate culture, and they might have thought that was a good thing. Even today, people are endlessly discussing how to ‘create’ a corporate culture, as if that can be done, like baking a cake, or designing a phone. Maybe we should put aside the question of whether ‘creating a business culture’ can be done, and ask a different question: can we create a larger and shared culture of work that subsumes organizational culture, and in a sense, replaces it?
Go read the whole thing.
Canon camera factories to phase out all human workers.
In an effort to cut costs, Canon Inc. has announced they are working towards full automation of digital camera production. The move is likely to be completed by 2015.
While many human jobs will be replaced by robots, a company spokesman maintains that workers won’t be made redundant and can be transferred to different work, although it’s not clear exactly what that would be.
Offices traditionally use 200 to 300 square feet per worker — an average of everything from clerks’ cubicles to executive suites. By encouraging staff to work from home, getting rid of offices, even resorting to “hoteling” — workers check in when they’re in the office and get assigned a desk for the day — some companies are slashing average square footage per worker to less than 100, about the size of a one-car garage.
Working from home is on the rise nationally. In 2005, 3.6% of the 133.1 million workers ages 16 and older telecommuted, according to Census data. Five years later, 4.3% of 137 million workers did their jobs from home.
Futuramb: What is interesting to note here is that digital communication and processing technology is actually changing the concept of both work and the office - but not in the direct, simplified way we expected when we talked about telecommuting in 80:s and 90:s. What are the five main lessons to learn to be able to understand technological change?
- Structural change always take longer than we think - at least 25-30 years
- Our view of how the change will occur is usually too simplified and relies on a number of concepts that is consistent with a certain mental model - the new, big bug but late effects (think S-curve) then appears to come without warning from behind a corner
- It is not the technological change per se we actually talk about when talking about change - it is the social, organizational, economical or political change we are after - and they will not take place until a technology is embedded and successfully spread to an extent that it change the world for a significant number of people - and that is a complex and socially driven diffusion process which is difficult to predict
- New technology tends to initially strengthen the existing model because it is used as rationalizing tools making old and soon to be outdated methods more efficient - in some cases even makes them more stuck into the structures than before
- A new technology cannot revolutionize the world on its own - it needs to find an entrence into the world and for that it needs:
- to be packaged into a product, service or concept that has a technological working environment
- a market/user base that is interested in using the application which is its current incarnation
- a way to manage the value streams between the participant in the value ecosystem
When talking about IT changing the workplace it is also the case that it was an oversimplification to treat IT as one technology. What we understand now IT is a deeply complex issue that partly relies on the spread of sufficiently intelligent devices as well as a well development infrastructure, all this tied together in a working business model that makes it available for the masses.
From legions of independent consultants to cities dotted with coworking facilities, the future of work is virtual, online and global.
Trend 1: Independent consulting to see hockey stick growth curve
Trend 2: Order books, movies, and now….workers online
Trend 3: Coworking moves beyond early adopter stage
Trend 4: Adaptive lifelong learning the norm
Trend 5: Jobs of the future will either retrofit and blend existing jobs, or solve entirely new problems
With an 8.6 percent unemployment rate and 3.4 million job openings, there’s a clear mismatch between the kinds of jobs available and the skills job-seekers actually have. But who is responsible for bridging the gap for college graduates: schools or employers?
It turns out that businesses are divided over whether college should be about practical skills for specific industries or broader ones, like critical thinking and writing. According to a new survey commissioned by the Accrediting Council for Independent Colleges and Schools, which polled more than 1,000 employers, 45 percent of hiring managers “believe that most students would be better served by an education that specifically prepares them for the workplace.” Meanwhile, 54 percent of hiring managers say that finding applicants “with the necessary skill and knowledge set is difficult.”
Indeed, considering the strong job growth projected in science, technology, engineering, and math fields over the next decade, too few students are majoring in those subjects. To fix this imbalance, some business leaders and politicians believe that liberal arts majors should go the way of the dinosaur. They advocate making higher education a practical, trade school-like experience that would funnel students into specific majors and spit out graduates ready for the workforce.
» via GOOD
This is a valid question, but it might be that the industrial era separation between education and business are becoming increasingly impossible…?