Post(s) tagged with "Economy"

Iterations: How Five Real Economists Think About Bitcoin’s Future | TechCrunch

Iterations: How Five Real Economists Think About Bitcoin’s Future | TechCrunch

Source: TechCrunch

stoweboyd:

(via Our favorite charts of 2012 - Quartz
The world’s shifting center of gravity


I ran into it researching city development some weeks ago and I really love this graph!

stoweboyd:

(via Our favorite charts of 2012 - Quartz

The world’s shifting center of gravity

I ran into it researching city development some weeks ago and I really love this graph!

The attention is, like many of us have predicted, continuing to shift towards Africa
The continent’s consumer-facing industries are expected to grow by $400 billion, representing its single-largest business opportunity, by 2020. But many companies don’t know how to translate this potential into action, because of a dearth of market research. That, however, is changing. In one of the first studies of its kind, McKinsey’s Africa Consumer Insights Center surveyed 13,000 consumers in ten African countries, with a focus on the largest cities. Five categories of consumption were covered: apparel, financial services, groceries, the Internet, and telecommunications.
The rise of the African consumer - McKinsey Quarterly - Marketing & Sales - Sectors & Regions

The attention is, like many of us have predicted, continuing to shift towards Africa

The continent’s consumer-facing industries are expected to grow by $400 billion, representing its single-largest business opportunity, by 2020. But many companies don’t know how to translate this potential into action, because of a dearth of market research. That, however, is changing. In one of the first studies of its kind, McKinsey’s Africa Consumer Insights Center surveyed 13,000 consumers in ten African countries, with a focus on the largest cities. Five categories of consumption were covered: apparel, financial services, groceries, the Internet, and telecommunications.

The rise of the African consumer - McKinsey Quarterly - Marketing & Sales - Sectors & Regions

Source: mckinseyquarterly.com


Capitol Hill: It’s Not the Economy, Stupid: Americans Really Are Driving Less Stephen Miller, streetsblog.org
Econ­o­mist Joe Cor­tright com­pared growth in miles dri­ven per capi­ta before and after five reces­sions. He found that, unlike in the past, dri­vers are log­ging fewer miles, not more, dur­ing this eco­nom­ic recov­ery. Image: Joe Cortright/CEO…

Capitol Hill: It’s Not the Economy, Stupid: Americans Really Are Driving Less
Stephen Miller, streetsblog.org

Econ­o­mist Joe Cor­tright com­pared growth in miles dri­ven per capi­ta before and after five reces­sions. He found that, unlike in the past, dri­vers are log­ging fewer miles, not more, dur­ing this eco­nom­ic recov­ery. Image: Joe Cortright/CEO…

Stowe Boyd: Uncertainty Increasing, Which Is Postnormal ⇢

stoweboyd:

More indications that we are in a new economic era — the Postnormal — and not just a temporary period of contraction following yet-another-boom-bust-cycle. Uncertainty in on the rise in the business sector, and this is not just a ruse to coax employees to vote against their interests or be fired.

emergentfutures:

Shopper Alert: Price May Drop for You Alone
At a Safeway in Denver, a 24-pack of Refreshe bottled water costs $2.71 for Jennie Sanford, a project manager. For Emily Vanek, a blogger, the price is $3.69.
The difference? The vast shopping data Safeway maintains on both women through its loyalty card program. Ms. Sanford has a history of buying Refreshe brand products, but not its bottled water, while Ms. Vanek, a Smartwater partisan, said she was unlikely to try Refreshe.
Full Story: NYT

Really interesting!
This is a development which is perfectly in line with the big data capacity together with the individualization megatrend. When further connecting the personal price to the individuals influencing factor on the Internet, or the availability of a certain product in a certain area the long term consequences could well be a completely scattered and chaotic consumer landscape where prices never will be a common factor for the large group anymore. This in turn might lead to a totally opaque situation where price and consumption will become an arena for political shadow boxing. Even if it is calculable what people earn, it will be impossible to understand what that mean in terms of e g real purchasing power or standard of living.  

emergentfutures:

Shopper Alert: Price May Drop for You Alone

At a Safeway in Denver, a 24-pack of Refreshe bottled water costs $2.71 for Jennie Sanford, a project manager. For Emily Vanek, a blogger, the price is $3.69.

The difference? The vast shopping data Safeway maintains on both women through its loyalty card program. Ms. Sanford has a history of buying Refreshe brand products, but not its bottled water, while Ms. Vanek, a Smartwater partisan, said she was unlikely to try Refreshe.

Full Story: NYT

Really interesting!

This is a development which is perfectly in line with the big data capacity together with the individualization megatrend. When further connecting the personal price to the individuals influencing factor on the Internet, or the availability of a certain product in a certain area the long term consequences could well be a completely scattered and chaotic consumer landscape where prices never will be a common factor for the large group anymore. This in turn might lead to a totally opaque situation where price and consumption will become an arena for political shadow boxing. Even if it is calculable what people earn, it will be impossible to understand what that mean in terms of e g real purchasing power or standard of living.  

emergentfutures:

No recovery until 2018, IMF warns


Fund’s chief economist Olivier Blanchard says global economy will take a decade to recover from the financial crisis

Full Story: The Guardian

futuramb: What does he really mean with recovery? In the article the writer use the words “back in decent shape”…

emergentfutures:

No recovery until 2018, IMF warns

Fund’s chief economist Olivier Blanchard says global economy will take a decade to recover from the financial crisis

Full Story: The Guardian

futuramb: What does he really mean with recovery? In the article the writer use the words “back in decent shape”…

#China is already the world’s #1 #economic #power, not in the #future ⇢

vahidmotlagh:

When you add in the debts Washington owes to veterans, seniors and government pensioners, the total amount is nearly ten times more: A staggering $145 trillion.

That’s nearly TEN TIMES the total value of the goods and services the U.S. economy produces …

That’s far more debt than Washington can ever hope to pay.

In fact, Washington’s only hope of avoiding default is to destroy the value of its own currency, then pay its debts back with dollars that are only a shadow of their former selves.

emergentfutures:

Rich Chinese flee
Rich folks in China simply want to leave the country.
That is not news. A survey did point this out more than a year ago, and survey after survey is pointing to the same conclusion. And they are going everywhere, sometimes to places that we have not heard of, like Prince Edward Island, not to mention other more popular destinations, like Vancouver, Australia, or… whatever…
Full Story: Macrobusiness

emergentfutures:

Rich Chinese flee

Rich folks in China simply want to leave the country.

That is not news. A survey did point this out more than a year ago, and survey after survey is pointing to the same conclusion. And they are going everywhere, sometimes to places that we have not heard of, like Prince Edward Island, not to mention other more popular destinations, like Vancouver, Australia, or… whatever…

Full Story: Macrobusiness

New economic thinking and the potential to transform politics ⇢

FACEBOOK, independent.co.uk

Eco­nom­ic ideas mat­ter. For two cen­turies polit­i­cal debates have been framed by eco­nom­ic argu­ments – mar­kets ver­sus states; right ver­sus left. But eco­nom­ic think­ing is chang­ing, and it is para­mount that pol­i­cy and pol­i­tics chan…

This important shift in economic perspective must occur pretty soon in order to rebuild our economic system, not just bottom-up (which is slowly happening anyway) but from within the opaque structures of powers as well. Otherwise we will have a much longer and deeper crisis than we now can imagine…

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P A Martin Börjesson

To be able to see the future emerge we have to throw a wide net to catch the weak signals. In this tumble I collect things I find valuable for my work as scenario planner, strategist and futurist - for more info about me go to www.futuramb.se.


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